River Plate vs Boca Juniors Betting Tips & Match Preview – Torneo Apertura Superclásico Showdown

Introduction

The Argentine Superclásico is back and bringing with it all the passion and tension that this iconic fixture promises. River Plate will host Boca Juniors this Sunday at the legendary Estadio Monumental for matchday 15 of the Torneo Apertura. Both teams are eager to claim bragging rights, making this a must-watch battle for fans and punters alike. River comes into the clash with inconsistent form but a strong unbeaten streak, while Boca looks to spoil the party away from home. Get ready for expert betting tips and valuable insights into this epic clash.

Team News & Key Insights

• River Plate has won only 4 of their last 10 matches in all competitions, showcasing recent irregular form.
• Despite the inconsistency, River remains unbeaten in their last 11 games, recording 4 wins and 7 draws.
• Sebastián Driussi has scored in each of his last two appearances—against Gimnasia in the Torneo Apertura and Independiente del Valle in the Copa Libertadores—and also provided an assist versus Gimnasia.
• 17 of River’s last 20 matches have had under 2.5 total goals, highlighting a strong under trend.
• Recent head-to-head record: River has won 3 of the last 5 clashes against Boca, including a 1-0 win in the 2024 Liga Profesional.

Betting Odds & Predictions

River Plate enters this Superclásico as the slight favorite, with odds of 1.90 for a home win. A draw is priced at 3.20, while a Boca Juniors victory offers sizable value at 4.50. Based on recent trendlines and results, the most likely outcomes point toward a narrow win for River with a low-scoring affair. With Driussi finding his form at a crucial moment, he remains a player to watch in potential goalscorer markets.

One of the standout betting combinations is River to win with Sebastián Driussi scoring anytime at 3.40. Considering the consistent pattern of low-scoring matches, the option of double chance River / Under 2.5 goals also provides solid value at 1.83.

Expert Betting Tips

• River Plate to Win – 1.90: Backed by home advantage and an 11-match unbeaten streak.
• River + Driussi to Score Anytime – 3.40: Driussi is in form with goals in both of his last two appearances.
• River or Draw & Under 2.5 Goals – 1.83: 17 of River’s last 20 games have seen two goals or fewer.
• Under 2.5 Total Goals – Implied from multiple trends: A staple in this fixture and River’s recent matches.
• Correct Score: River 1-0 – Implied Value: Fits the narrative of narrow wins and strong defense.

Final Prediction & Verdict

This edition of the Superclásico has all the markings of a tightly-contested and low-scoring battle. River Plate, though not at their most dominant, arrive with defensive stability and renewed confidence thanks to their 11-match unbeaten streak. Sebastián Driussi’s resurgence adds firepower to their attack at a crucial moment for the club.

On the other hand, Boca comes into the Monumental as underdogs, something that typically adds to the edge and unpredictability of this derby. However, recent trends and player form tilt the scales in River’s favor. With a strong home record and historical edge in recent meetings, backing River to win in a match featuring under 2.5 goals looks like the smart play. Our final prediction: River Plate to secure a narrow victory, likely by a 1-0 scoreline, with Driussi potentially making the difference once again.