Nottingham Forest vs Leicester Betting Tips & Match Preview – Premier League Showdown
Introduction
Nottingham Forest and Leicester City square off on Sunday, 11 May, in a crucial Premier League fixture at the City Ground. As the season nears its end, Forest will look to reignite their push toward the top five, while already-relegated Leicester aim to salvage pride. With contrasting fortunes and momentum, this matchup carries high importance, particularly for the hosts. Forest have been strong starters this season, while Leicester continue to struggle away from home. Read on for our expert betting tips and full match preview.
Team News & Key Insights
- Nottingham Forest have scored first in 24 of their 35 Premier League games — tied for the highest in the division.
- The hosts have kept eight clean sheets at home this season.
- Chris Wood netted a brace in Forest’s 3-1 win over Leicester earlier in the campaign.
- Leicester have conceded two or more goals in five of their last six away games.
- Forest are without Callum Hudson-Odoi but have otherwise minimal injury issues.
- Leicester are missing multiple players: Buonanotte, Ricardo Pereira, Stephy Mavididi, Harry Souttar, Bobby De Cordova-Reid, and Abdul Fatwau.
- Forest have won three of their last four meetings with Leicester, including a 2-0 home win in January 2023.
Betting Odds & Predictions
Despite only one win in their last five Premier League fixtures, Nottingham Forest are heavy favourites with odds of 1.36, implying a 73.3% chance of victory. A draw is priced at 5.00 (20% probability), while Leicester are major underdogs at 7.50, reflecting just a 13.3% chance of securing a result.
Forest’s solid defensive home record and Leicester’s poor away form tilt the scales heavily toward the hosts. The prediction is a 2-0 win for Nottingham Forest, supported by their strong clean-sheet record and Leicester’s tendency to concede heavily on the road. Expect Forest to strike first, likely capitalizing on the Foxes’ defensive frailties.
Expert Betting Tips
- Nottingham Forest to Win – Forest have a 73.3% win probability and a superior H2H record. 1.36
- Correct Score 2-0 Nottingham Forest – Leicester are conceding 2.47 goals per away game. Odds not specified
- Forest to Score First – Scored first in 24 of 35 games this season. Odds not specified
- Under 2.5 Leicester Goals – The Foxes have managed limited scoring in most recent away losses. Odds not specified
Final Prediction & Verdict
Forest’s defensive solidity at the City Ground combined with an aggressive start makes them a strong choice for all three points. Despite recent inconsistent form, their ability to strike early and preserve leads gives them the edge against a Leicester side with minimal to play for and significant injury problems.
Leicester’s away woes and depleted squad leave them vulnerable once again. Nottingham Forest, driven by the desire to finish strong and guided by reliable home showings, should be able to control the game from the outset. With eight home clean sheets and a history of opening the scoring, backing Forest for a 2-0 win seems a smart and justified call.
Expect a confident display with Chris Wood potentially making the difference once more.
