Man United vs Athletic Bilbao Betting Tips & Match Preview – Club Friendly 06/08/2023
Introduction
Manchester United and Athletic Bilbao face off in a compelling club friendly on Sunday, August 6th, in Dublin. The match arrives just 24 hours after United’s clash with Lens, meaning the Red Devils are expected to field a second-string squad filled with fringe players and promising youngsters. Meanwhile, Athletic Bilbao are set to bring their full-strength lineup, using this as their final tune-up before taking on Real Madrid in La Liga’s opening weekend.
For United, this game represents more than just a friendly—it’s a much-needed confidence boost after a string of underwhelming pre-season performances. And with Bilbao out to maintain their positive pre-season momentum, fans can expect a competitive affair filled with tactical intrigue and goal-scoring opportunities. Let’s dive into our expert betting tips and analysis.
Team News & Key Insights
- Man United are expected to field a B team, with first-team regulars staying in Manchester for their Saturday game vs Lens.
- United’s recent form is shaky with three consecutive friendly losses against Dortmund (2-3), Real Madrid (0-2), and Wrexham (1-3).
- Athletic Bilbao are using this fixture as their last pre-season test and are likely to deploy a full-strength squad.
- Bilbao have a solid recent record, remaining unbeaten in their last five games, including wins over Rayo Vallecano and Sevilla.
- Injury news: United are missing Henderson and Malacia, while Bilbao have no major absentees reported.
- Head-to-head: Bilbao won both legs of their 2012 Europa League knockout tie against Man United, scoring 5 goals over two games.
Betting Odds & Predictions
The latest odds point to a narrow edge for Manchester United, despite their expected use of a weakened lineup. Bookmakers price a United win at 1.73, a draw at 3.80, and a Bilbao victory at 4.60. However, the value lies in backing the Spanish side or a draw given the contrasting team selections. Over 2.5 goals is also attractively priced at 1.87, reflecting both teams’ propensity for open and attacking football in recent friendlies.
Given United’s leaky defense and Bilbao’s capacity to seize their opportunities, it wouldn’t be surprising to see another high-scoring encounter. The last two clashes between these sides also saw 3+ goals, and Bilbao’s last few matches have seen goal totals rise.
Expert Betting Tips
- Double Chance: Athletic Bilbao or Draw – 2.90
Bearing in mind Manchester United’s use of a second-string side and Bilbao’s stronger lineup, this offers excellent value. - Over 2.5 Goals – 1.87
Both teams have a record of high-scoring games this pre-season, and their past meetings in 2012 saw both legs go over 2.5 goals. - Both Teams to Score – 1.80
Given United’s defensive vulnerabilities and attacking talent, BTTS is a smart play here. - Bilbao to Win Either Half – 2.20
With stronger team cohesion and motivation, Bilbao could take command in at least one of the halves. - Harry Maguire Anytime Goal – 6.50
Expected to captain United’s B team, Maguire’s aerial threat from set pieces makes him worth a punt for a surprise goal.
Final Prediction & Verdict
With Manchester United fielding what is essentially their reserve lineup, it’s difficult to back them confidently against a battle-ready Athletic Bilbao. The Spanish side has looked solid defensively while showing glimpses of clinical finishing in recent weeks, including wins against La Liga opposition. Meanwhile, United’s pre-season tour has been disappointing, raising concerns about their squad depth and confidence heading into the new campaign.
While United may dominate possession, expect Bilbao to capitalize on the lack of experience in the Red Devils lineup. If Bilbao can stay organized and hit on the break, the chances of coming away with at least a draw are strong. Combined with both teams’ involvement in high-scoring games, there’s reason to expect a few goals as well.
Final Prediction: Athletic Bilbao or Draw & Over 2.5 Goals
