Gimnasia vs River Plate Betting Tips & Match Preview – Torneo Apertura 2025

Introduction

Round 14 of the Torneo Apertura sees an important clash as Gimnasia hosts River Plate. This match carries significant weight for the visiting Millonario, who have the chance to secure their place in the playoffs. Despite coming into this fixture with four consecutive league draws, River remains a formidable side that rarely loses. The focus will also be on Miguel Borja, who continues to prove key in the attacking phase, offering a consistent threat even when starting from the bench. Don’t miss out on our expert betting insights and predictions for this high-stakes showdown.

Team News & Key Insights

• River Plate is unbeaten in 18 of their last 19 matches, recording 9 wins and 9 draws during that span.
• The visiting side has been involved in low-scoring affairs, with fewer than three goals occurring in 17 of those 18 recent fixtures.
• Gimnasia is going through a rough spell, failing to win any of their last six matches (3 draws and 3 defeats).
• In 10 of their last 11 games, Gimnasia’s matches featured under 2.5 goals.
• Miguel Borja has scored 2 goals in River’s last 3 games, even though he didn’t start all of them, positioning him as a top candidate to find the net.
• Historical results favor River Plate: they’ve won four of the last five head-to-heads against Gimnasia (including one draw), with recent scorelines such as 3-1, 2-1, and 3-0.
• Corner statistics also lean toward a conservative count: under 9.5 corners occurred in 9 of River’s last 13 games and in 8 of Gimnasia’s last 13.

Betting Odds & Predictions

The odds suggest River Plate enter the match as favorites, priced at 1.85 for a win. Gimnasia lags behind at 4.10, while a draw is offered at 3.60. Given the stout defensive trends and River’s reliable form, one of the standout plays is a double chance on River or draw and under 2.5 total goals at odds of 2.00. Additionally, the under 9.5 corners market is supported by both team’s stats and is set at 1.80. Miguel Borja, who has a strong recent scoring record, is priced at 2.62 to score at any time, making him an appealing goalscorer candidate.

Expert Betting Tips

• Miguel Borja to score anytime – 2.62: River’s most reliable attacking option lately, scoring twice in the last three games.
• River or draw & under 2.5 goals – 2.00: Both teams are involved in low-scoring games, and River rarely loses.
• Under 9.5 corners – 1.80: This bet hit in 9 of River’s and 8 of Gimnasia’s last 13 matches.
• River Plate to win – 1.85: Historically dominant against Gimnasia with four wins in the last five meetings.
• Under 2.5 total goals – N/A: Strong trends from both teams show limited scoring.

Final Prediction & Verdict

All signs point to a tightly contested encounter between two sides that struggle in front of goal. River might not be winning consistently, but they are incredibly hard to beat and have developed a reputation for controlling matches without conceding much. With an excellent run of just one loss in their last 19 and facing a Gimnasia team in poor form and low morale, River has the tools to grind out a positive result.

Expect a slow-paced game with limited opportunities. The Millonario’s recent matches have rarely gone over the 2.5 goal line, and Gimnasia’s inability to score frequently only strengthens that trend. That makes the double chance combined with under 2.5 a smart play. For a player prop, back Miguel Borja, who has been making the most of limited chances, to find the net again. Overall, River Plate should take something away from this matchup, most likely sealing their qualification with a narrow result.