AS Roma vs. Athletic Bilbao: Game Analysis, Betting Tips – Europa League

Introduction

The Europa League Round of 16 presents an intriguing matchup as AS Roma hosts Athletic Bilbao at the Stadio Olimpico on March 6, 2025. Both teams aim to secure a favorable result in this first-leg encounter to bolster their chances of advancing to the quarterfinals.

AS Roma has been in impressive form under the guidance of manager Claudio Ranieri. The Giallorossi are currently on an eleven-match unbeaten streak in Serie A, showcasing defensive solidity and tactical discipline. Their recent performances have propelled them into contention for European spots in the domestic league, reflecting a resurgence in their campaign.

Athletic Bilbao, known as Los Leones, enters this fixture with a rich history but still in pursuit of their first European title. The Basque side has experienced mixed results recently, including a 1-1 draw in their last Europa League outing. Manager Ernesto Valverde emphasizes the importance of this competition, especially with the final set to be played at their home ground, San Mamés, on May 21.

This clash is poised to be a tactical battle, with both teams prioritizing defensive organization. Fans and bettors can anticipate a closely contested affair, where strategic nuances may determine the outcome.

Team News & Key Insights

Recent Performances:

• AS Roma:
  • Unbeaten in their last eleven Serie A matches, indicating strong domestic form.
  • Secured a 1-0 victory over Porto in the Europa League playoff round, demonstrating their defensive resilience.
• Athletic Bilbao:
  • Achieved a 1-1 draw in their recent Europa League match, showcasing their competitive spirit.
  • Aiming to balance their domestic league commitments with European aspirations.

Head-to-Head Record:

• This match marks the first competitive meeting between AS Roma and Athletic Bilbao, adding an element of unpredictability to the encounter.

Injuries and Suspensions:

• AS Roma:
  • Key players like Paulo Dybala and Lorenzo Pellegrini are expected to feature, bolstering their attacking options.
  • No major injury concerns reported ahead of the match.
• Athletic Bilbao:
  • The fitness of Oihan Sancet is under scrutiny due to a recent injury, with his participation remaining uncertain.
  • Nico Williams is anticipated to play a crucial role in their offensive strategies.

Betting Odds & Predictions

Considering the defensive strengths of both teams, the betting markets reflect expectations of a low-scoring game:

• Under 2.5 Goals: 1.65
• Both Teams to Score – No: 1.75
• AS Roma to Win: 2.10
• Draw: 3.20
• Athletic Bilbao to Win: 3.60

These odds suggest a slight advantage for AS Roma, primarily due to their home ground and recent form. However, the likelihood of a match with fewer goals is also emphasized.

Expert Betting Tips

For bettors seeking value, here are some recommended wagers:

• Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.65
  • Both teams have exhibited strong defensive performances, making a low-scoring match plausible.
• Both Teams to Score – No @ 1.75
  • Given the emphasis on defensive organization, it’s conceivable that one or both teams may fail to find the net.
• AS Roma to Win @ 2.10
  • Leveraging home advantage and current form, Roma stands a favorable chance of securing a victory.

Final Prediction & Verdict

This Europa League fixture is expected to be a tightly contested affair, with both AS Roma and Athletic Bilbao focusing on defensive solidity. The home advantage and recent form tilt the scales slightly in favor of Roma.

Predicted Score: AS Roma 1 – 0 Athletic Bilbao

We anticipate a narrow victory for the hosts, with limited goal-scoring opportunities. Bettors are advised to consider markets related to total goals and both teams to score.