Alaves vs Valencia Betting Tips & Match Preview – La Liga Showdown in Vitoria
Introduction
La Liga action heats up as Alaves host Valencia in a high-stakes encounter at Mendizorrotza Stadium on Wednesday. With top-flight survival on the line for the hosts and European ambitions looming for the visitors, both sides will be desperate for a favourable result. Alaves, under Chacho Coudet, have made themselves difficult to break down but continue to struggle in front of goal. Valencia, on the other hand, arrive on a ten-match unbeaten run but with a less-than-stellar away record. Dive into our expert betting tips as we preview the match from every angle.
Team News & Key Insights
- Alaves have drawn 45% of their matches in all competitions under current management.
- All of Alaves’ last seven fixtures have seen under 2.5 goals scored.
- Valencia are unbeaten in their last 10 La Liga matches.
- Alaves have a strong home record against Valencia, winning 4 and drawing 2 of the last 6 meetings in Vitoria.
- Abdel Abqar remains sidelined for Alaves, while Javi Guerra is suspended and Thierry Correia remains injured for Valencia.
- Hugo Duro has scored 11 goals in 28 La Liga appearances this season, with 91% of those coming before the 60th minute.
Betting Odds & Predictions
The bookies slightly favour the home team in this evenly contested match. Alaves’ odds to win are set at 2.05 (21/20), implying a 48.8% chance of victory. A draw is priced at 3.20 (11/5), while an away win for Valencia is offered at 3.75 (11/4). Despite Valencia’s superior form, their away struggles and Alaves’ tight style of play suggest a low-scoring stalemate is on the cards. Our prediction? A goalless draw, mirroring the hosts’ recent pattern of underwhelming offensive displays in closely fought contests.
Expert Betting Tips
- Under 2.5 goals – 1.55: All of Alaves’ last seven fixtures have gone under this line, pointing to another cagey battle.
- Draw – 3.20: These sides may cancel each other out based on Valencia’s poor away form and Alaves’ defensive resilience.
- Correct Score 0-0 – 7.50: With limited attacking firepower and solid defensive structures, a goalless draw has strong potential.
- Hugo Duro to score first – 6.00: The forward tends to strike early, with 91% of his goals netted in the opening hour of matches.
- Both Teams to Score – No – 1.80: This has occurred in multiple recent fixtures for both sides, especially given Valencia’s controlled games and Alaves’ struggles up front.
Final Prediction & Verdict
As we look ahead to this La Liga matchup, the narrative suggests a clash dominated by tactical caution. Alaves continue to build a reputation as a stubborn defensive side, but their bluntness in attack remains a severe limitation. Their recent 1-0 defeat to Athletic Club was another reminder of their inability to convert chances into goals. Valencia might be flying higher with an ongoing ten-match unbeaten streak, but their away form has been far from convincing, winning only twice on the road this season in the league.
History also works in Alaves’ favour when playing in Vitoria, where they have consistently frustrated Los Che. With both teams missing important players — Abqar for Alaves and Guerra for Valencia — and factoring in the hosts’ underwhelming attack versus the visitors’ away struggles, this feels like a balanced fixture likely to end without a winner. Our final call is a 0-0 draw, with under 2.5 goals as the safest angle for punters.
