Real Valladolid vs Girona Betting Tips & Match Preview – La Liga Showdown
Introduction
La Liga relegation drama reaches a boiling point as Girona travel to face Real Valladolid at the Jose Zorrilla Stadium on Tuesday, 13 May 2025. For Valladolid, it’s already over – they’ve been mathematically relegated after a catastrophic run. Meanwhile, Girona find themselves just four points above the drop zone with three fixtures left to play and daunting encounters against Real Sociedad and Atletico Madrid looming. A win here is critical if they want to retain top-flight status. With recent form and historical results leaning heavily in Girona’s favour, there’s plenty of reason to pay close attention to this matchup for betting value. Follow along as we break down our expert tips and betting predictions.
Team News & Key Insights
- Real Valladolid are enduring a nightmare run with a 16-game winless streak across all competitions, including 15 defeats and just one draw.
- Each of their last seven matches has seen over 2.5 goals scored.
- Real Valladolid remain bottom of the table with only 16 points from 35 matches.
- They’ve already been relegated and lost their last nine matches in a row, scoring in seven of them.
- Injuries include defenders Eray Comert (injured last match), Javi Sanchez (groin), and David Torres (muscle), further weakening their backline.
- Girona have no new injury concerns but remain without Donny van de Beek, Bryan Gil, and Miguel Gutierrez.
- Girona are aiming for their first away win in 17 weeks.
- Both teams have scored in Girona’s last five matches and the last five matches of Valladolid.
- From their last five meetings, Girona have won three, drawn one, and lost one.
Betting Odds & Predictions
Bookmakers have made Girona clear favourites heading into this tie, with odds of 1.62 (8/13) suggesting a 61.9% chance of victory. In comparison, Real Valladolid are long shots at 5.00 (4/1), with only a 20% implied probability. A draw is priced at 4.00 (3/1), providing a smidge of value but less likelihood based on current form.
Given Real Valladolid’s defensive vulnerabilities and consistent losses, Girona’s win prediction makes sense on paper. Interestingly, the correct score prediction favours a 1-2 Girona win – a result that has occurred four times in Valladolid’s recent defeats. With both sides regularly finding the net and struggling to keep clean sheets, the "Both Teams to Score – Yes" market offers appealing value at 1.80 (4/5).
Expert Betting Tips
- Girona to Win – Valladolid are on a 16-match winless streak. 1.62
- Both Teams to Score – Yes – Occurred in each of Valladolid’s last five games and Girona’s last five. 1.80
- Over 2.5 Goals – Valladolid’s last seven matches cleared this line. 1.85
- Correct Score: 1-2 Girona – Valladolid have lost six recent games by that scoreline. 8.50 (approximate odds based on trend)
Final Prediction & Verdict
All signs point toward a Girona victory at the Jose Zorrilla Stadium. Real Valladolid’s continued freefall – highlighted by a nine-match losing streak – leaves little room for an upset. Their fragile defense, impacted further by injuries, has conceded 16 goals in their last five matches alone. Meanwhile, Girona’s need for survival points and their relatively stronger form gives them both incentive and opportunity to pile further misery on the relegated hosts.
Despite their away struggles in recent months, Girona are the stronger side and are unlikely to squander this near must-win scenario. With both sides consistently scoring yet frequently conceding, backing a Girona win combined with Both Teams to Score looks a sharp angle. Expect Girona to dig deep and come away with a hard-fought 2-1 victory.
