Atalanta vs Roma Betting Tips & Match Preview – Serie A Clash for Champions League Places
Introduction
This Monday, 12 May, all eyes will be on the Gewiss Stadium as Atalanta host Roma in a crucial Serie A battle with Champions League football on the line. Atalanta need just a single point to clinch a top-four finish, a feat made more achievable thanks to weekend results going their way. However, Roma are breathing down the necks of Juventus in the race for fourth, and a win here would see them leap above the Old Lady with only two matches left in the season.
The motivation is sky-high on both sides, but contrasting issues loom — Atalanta are facing an injury-hit squad while Roma are looking to finish strong without their captain. If you’re looking to bet smartly this weekend, read on for our expert betting tips and predictions.
Team News & Key Insights
- Atalanta are missing key players including Ademola Lookman (Achilles), Stefan Posch, Giorgio Scalvini, Gianluca Scamacca, Juan Cuadrado and Sead Kolasinac through injury. Isak Hien is suspended.
- Roma will be without their captain Lorenzo Pellegrini, who is unlikely to feature again this season due to a muscular injury.
- Roma are unbeaten in their last seven matches (five draws, two wins).
- Roma have won six of their last seven Serie A away matches.
- Each of Roma’s last eight league matches has featured under 2.5 goals.
- Head-to-head: Atalanta are unbeaten in their last five matches against Roma, winning four.
Betting Odds & Predictions
Ladbrokes have made Atalanta the favourites going into Monday night’s clash, with odds of 1.95 for a home win, giving them a 51.3% implied win probability. A draw stands at 3.50 (28.6%), while Roma’s win is priced at 3.75 (26.7%).
Despite Atalanta’s favouritism, the prediction leans towards a significant Roma victory. Roma’s current run of form and away success elevates their value as a solid underdog pick. They have a history of grinding out 1-0 wins — a scoreline which has occurred in six of their last eight Serie A matches. Interestingly, Atalanta’s last two league defeats have also finished by this same narrow margin, suggesting this could well be another low-scoring battle settled by a single goal.
Expert Betting Tips
- Roma to Win – Excellent recent form and six wins in the last seven away games. 3.75
- Correct Score: 0-1 Roma – This has been a consistent result in recent Roma matches. N/A
- Under 2.5 Goals – Has landed in each of Roma’s last eight Serie A fixtures. N/A
- Both Teams to Score – No – Atalanta missing attacking options, Roma solid defensively. N/A
- Double Chance: Roma or Draw – Given Roma’s unbeaten streak, a safe angle. N/A
Final Prediction & Verdict
Atalanta have the home advantage and the comfort of knowing only a draw is needed to secure Champions League football. Still, a depleted squad missing key figures like Lookman, Scamacca, and Kolasinac presents a significant challenge. Their recent form has been decent, with an emphatic 4-0 win over Monza last time out, but squad depth could prove decisive against a more stable Roma side.
Roma are flying high with a rock-solid record away from home and are unbeaten in their last seven outings. Despite missing captain Lorenzo Pellegrini, the likes of Artem Dovbyk — who found the net against Fiorentina — will be key in leading the charge. With everything still to play for in the top-four race and Atalanta potentially settling for a point, Roma’s hunger for victory could tip the balance. The betting value lies in backing the visitors for a narrow win, and we’re predicting a repeat 0-1 scoreline in Roma’s favour.
