Nottingham Forest vs Leicester Betting Tips & Match Preview – Premier League Showdown
Introduction
Nottingham Forest host already-relegated Leicester City at the City Ground on Sunday, 11 May, in a crucial Premier League fixture. While Forest are looking to bounce back and keep their top-five hopes alive, Leicester’s campaign is winding down with little at stake. The hosts are favorites going into this tie based on recent form and the Foxes’ leaky defense on the road. Forest’s impressive defensive record at home could give them the edge they need, but with both teams facing player absences, calculating the edge requires a sharp look at the stats. Stay tuned for our expert betting tips below.
Team News & Key Insights
- Nottingham Forest have scored first in 24 of their 35 Premier League matches – tied for league-best.
- Forest have kept eight clean sheets at home in the league this season.
- Chris Wood scored twice in Forest’s 3-1 win over Leicester back in October.
- Leicester conceded two or more goals in five of their last six away league games.
- Forest are missing Callum Hudson-Odoi, while Ryan Yates, Morato and Jota Silva are pushing for starts.
- Leicester are missing several players, including Facundo Buonanotte, Ricardo Pereira, Stephy Mavididi, Harry Souttar, Bobby De Cordova-Reid and Abdul Fatwau.
- In their last four meetings, Forest have won three times, including a 3-1 win earlier this season.
Betting Odds & Predictions
Based on current odds, Nottingham Forest are overwhelming favorites to secure a win on Sunday. The hosts are priced at 1.36 (4/11), giving them a significant 73.3% implied probability of victory. Leicester, on the other hand, have been given just a 13.3% chance to win, reflected in their long odds of 7.50 (13/2). A draw sits at 5.00 (4/1).
The recommended correct score prediction for this contest is Nottingham Forest 2-0 Leicester. Forest’s strong track record of home clean sheets and Leicester’s poor away defensive record support this selection. With the Foxes conceding an average of 2.47 goals per away game and Forest’s sharpness in opening the scoring, the signs point to another dominant home performance.
Expert Betting Tips
- Nottingham Forest to Win – The hosts have a dominant home record and Leicester’s recent form is poor. 1.36
- Correct Score – Forest 2-0 – Supported by previous H2H and Leicester’s away defensive struggles. Exact odds not specified
- Forest to Score First – They’ve scored first in 24 of 35 league games. Exact odds not specified
- Under 2.5 Goals – Forest’s strong defense and Leicester’s lack of scoring away could keep this low-scoring. Exact odds not specified
Final Prediction & Verdict
All signs point toward a comfortable outing for Nottingham Forest. Despite just one win in their last five league matches, Forest’s home form remains solid with eight clean sheets, and their ability to score first often puts them in control early. In contrast, Leicester’s problems on the road—conceding over two goals per away match on average—compound their issues, especially with several players unavailable and morale dipped following their confirmed relegation.
Chris Wood’s brace in their previous meeting suggests Forest knows how to exploit Leicester’s weaknesses. Given all available insights, the best value lies in backing a 2-0 win for Nottingham Forest. With a strong home record, motivation to secure points, and historical head-to-head dominance, the hosts are well-positioned to take all three points without conceding.
